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  • Plan to invest in stocks/mutual funds in ~ 1 year. Suggestions of good books for starting out/research/study?

    Posted by admin on January 13th, 2009 and filed under mutual fund research | 8 Comments »

    I've read, reading or plan to read the following materials:

    1. Investopedia.com material: a bit sparse, not too detailed and informative

    2. Jim Cramer's Mad Money: Seems like he's a fad and investing style is more short-term (1-24 months) and not longterm.

    3. Lynch's One up on Wall Street: haven't finished but seems pretty outdated. Gives a lot of examples which can lead to tedium.

    4. Graham's Intelligent Investor: GAH! It's huge…haven't started

    5. Stanley's The Millionaire Next Door: more of a self-help finance book but seemingly very good insight into self-made millionaires.

    6. Stanley's The Millionaire Mind: more or less the same as above.

    Well…you've listed several perfectly fine books…I always recommend the "Millionaire Next Door" to clients "starting out"…but, honestly…start out with a reputable advisor…and enjoy your retirement, etc. One of my clients used to own one of the Las Vegas Strip casinos…Wharton School grad etc…still has me manage his money because 1) I'm really good… 2) he wants to "have a life" …versus sitting by the computer, reading books, articles, tracking news, earnings, etc etc…instead he's spending time with his wife, visiting the grandkids, etc.

    However…to answer your question…I've compiled these two answers over the last two nights of "popping in" on here…and will save myself a lot fo time by "editing" some of this infor down for you (yes, this is the "condensed" version…of abreviated information)
    ————————————————————————
    "Is there anywhere you would recommend to start learning about investing in the market?" <this person said they had very limited funds>
    ————————————————————————
    **This will be a fairly extensive listing of where to go to learn about stocks, bonds, personal finance, economic issues(stock related), etc etc etc……only because you sound like you earnestly want to know.

    For STOCK/Mutual Fund/Options/Finance-related information:

    **www.kiplingers.com (more "personal finance" than stocks…but that's critical in life too…kiplinger newsletter and/or Kiplinger Personal Finance magazine!)
    **www.fool.com (classes to sign up for, free, etc)
    **www.seekingalpha.com (better for the "technical analysis" crowd)
    **www.whispernumbers.com (professional and non-pro opinions…group think?…play it to your advantage?)
    **www.yahoo.com (finance section…good site (that's free) for tracking (delayed) your stock portfolio)
    **www.msnbc.com (current "in-the-news" stuff)
    **www.morningstar.com (mostly for funds…stocks too)
    **www.dismalscientist.com (more MACRO-economic…for those who want to know "why, how…" things happen)
    **www.888options.com (Great Options site, free options DVD and classes!)
    **www.optionsmonster.com (Options site)
    **www.CBOE.com (THE Options exchange, "Learning Center"/"Options Institute"=free classes!)
    **www.lightbulbpress.com (easy to understand, quick read, booklets etc.)
    **www.street.com (Cramer's name to fame! "trader, not investor" related advice mostly!)
    **www.horsesmouth.com (a stock/stock market barometer!)
    **www.bankrate.com (good resource on rates, and much more!)

    And…sooooo many more… I'll save "financial Calculator" websites (for everything you can imagine, and many that you can't) for another time!!! Oh, these are "off the top of my head"…..there are many others that I've gone "blank" on…and may add later, after I check my work computer (since I've saved the shortcuts on several, I don't remember the actual addresses!…silly me!!!)

    Study hard…don't lose your money "guessing"…study/read first…then take a "gamble?" (pun intended)…and/or find an above average/ethical professional to do the work for you.

    ***Oh, yeah….all of the above information should be FREE for all/overwhelming majority of the information…AND "Most traders/investors" don't know about them. Also, NEVER buy those newsletters, etc you'll get "pitched"…use these sites…and think for yourself…or hire a "personal" advisor who knows you and what your goals, needs, etc are.
    ————————————————————————
    "Are there any ways to invest in The Market safely?"
    ————————————————————————
    Okay… a "Master's Class" of investing "safely"…

    There is a wide range of what people consider "safe" investing. Each individual's definition is typically based upon their dynamic of choice…be that…

    1) time based "I might need this (or some of it) money in the next week/month/year/few years" etc.

    2) the level of "fluctuation" that an individual is comfortable with, or NOT comfortable with ("I don't want to see ANY negative values EVER!", up to, "Hey, I know the market can bounce up and down +/- 10% or more in a short time…but I'm working with "extra money" and am in this to "hit it big" buying dips and taking the "big gamble" shots.")

    3) Whatever your "personal" definition is…probably is somewhere in the middle.

    Methods of investing with "some version" of safety…..

    1) Guaranteed returns???!!!:
    – FDIC guarantees…means CD's…one of the lowest interest rates around…and…being "fixed" into a "set rate" of return. It is also typically taxed at the same level as your "personal income tax rate"…a low return and high tax exposure…not one of my favorites…but it is "safe" if you're with a financially sound bank.
    – Insurance products…guarantees with little or nearly no risk…this means an Annuity, fixed or adjustable. *Fixed means…about the same rates as a CD, a low rate, but with "tax-deferred growth" and the rate you receive is net of fees (not net of taxes, net of fees). *Adjustable annuities…there are many bad ones out there…that is why annuities have a bad name in some circles. Yet, like attorneys, there are good ones too! (I'm not an attorney). A highly rated insurance company with "principal guarantees" and without a "annuitization" requirement to get your money back after "X" period of time…and you can get the upside potential of the market (thru subaccount mutual funds of your chosing) and the guarantees/protections granted by the insurance company.

    2) Non-guaranteed returns…require "strategies" to limit the risk associated with investing in the stock market.
    – Dollar-cost-averaging…I has been said that Einstein once stated that "compound interest is the greatest invention in the world"….or something like that…or…he may have never said it…you know how people re-write history sometimes. Anyway…getting your money to make more money, compounding upon itself year after year…what a beautiful way to become wealthy! The "common man" way to do this is with regular payroll contributions into a retirement plan (i.e. 401k, but any IRA, annuity, regular brokerage account, etc can do). You limit your risk by buying small bits of a fund/stock regularly over time…acheiving a smaller/lower cost basis on your investment…and again…over time…grow that money into a "measureable amount". I do not have time here to go into ways to limit that risk as money becomes accumulated…that falls under "active management".

    3) "Invest for the long term"…..a commonly used phrase by people who don't really know what the "#?!@?" they are talking about…and allow themselves to "become slaves to the Almighty Index." Yes, over nearly any 10 year period an "investor" has made money on their money…but not everyone can, or wants to, wait out 10 YEARS to see if the odds play to their favor "this time". Hey, long term investing is good…but "riding the index" is for the less informed and "penny-wise pound-foolish" crowd.

    4) Actively manage your money (or find an honest/ sincere/ knowlegeable professional to do it for you!).
    There are many ways to "manage your risk"…here are just a few…..
    – spread out your risk…buy funds/stocks in several sectors of the market. The Dow Jones…is ONLY 30 stocks…Nasdaq…about 100….that's 130 stocks out of 4,000+/- in the stock market. Typically, if you don't own the 30 largest industrialist companies in the market, or the 100 largest tech-oriented companies in the market…you have A LOT OF OTHER CHOICES to invest in. Plus…you won't care what the "dow and nasdaq did today" anymore. Some other "indexes" or "sectors" are: real estate (residential/ mortgage/ hospitals/ nursing homes/ industrial/ etc), natural resources (gold/ oil/ minerals/ copper/ uranium/ paper goods, etc etc), healthcare, small cap stocks, mid-size company stocks, international stocks (Emerging markets, Asia, Asia minus Japan, Europe, Latin America, etc etc), utilities, REITs (commercial and residential), etc etc etc. Then if one sector starts to drop…shift the emphasis to what is now growing faster…but NEVER too many eggs in any one or three baskets!
    – Buying "protection"… another way to say… learn about "simple strategies" for options. You can use options to "protect/lock-in profits". If your investment gains 40% or more (% is your choice, I just picked this "low" one) and you don't want to see it "give it all back"…buy a "put" option…(simplest form)…before the next crucial event (earnings report, new product launch, buyout event, political election?, etc). See www.888options.com or the www.cboe.com for "free", really…"free" lessons, tutorials, etc…

    5) Keep it all in balance….. mix it up…give yourself some "safety net" space. This is what I get paid to do for people in "active management stuff" that are "conservative"… put enough money into "fixed rates of return" to give your "market exposure" (stocks/funds) a "safety net." I.e. 2/3 of your money makes 6%, the other 1/3 has to lose 12% to give you a "breakeven" return…I know…simple brilliance…wish you'd thought of it…not hard…..have fun…but that only works with people who are happy with little/less return potential in both UP markets…returns are held back by the lower interest rates on 2/3 of your money…and not making as much as you could in interest if your "market money" is flat…it brings down your average "fixed rate" return. Ideally, the interest rates are "decent" and your funds/stocks do great…and you are too greedy, after saying you're "conservative".

    Well, enough…or too much for tonight…time to go to bed. I've rambled off enough stuff from "off the top of my head" or as they say…"in a stream of consciousness" writing session.

    Best of luck.

    **if you'd like to learn more…see my other posts…I don't ever post "trivial stuff"…not that I can ever recall. You will find a TON of links to learning sites from them.

    **Oh, and forgive my occasional rants…like this one… Ignore the intellectually challenged and the "a little information is a dangerous thing" crowd.
    Professionals "as a whole" don't beat the average…uh, that's what makes it into an average!!! In every "average" class there are those who "mess up" the curve for everyone else…that's who you hire to "manage your money"…be smart enough to hire the "A/B students" that regularly/always beat the average…not the brain dead "goofs" who repeat other people's "wise sayings" in an effort to make themselves seem smarter than they are. Okay, sorry, tired…..have fun, God bless us all!!!

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    I've been researching mutual funds and it seems that many of those with Latin American stocks are rated the

    Posted by admin on January 11th, 2009 and filed under mutual fund research | 2 Comments »

    best by MSN Money. Why is this?

    Well, it's mainly Brazil..and that is because they trade heavily with China in raw materials and energy that China desperately needs…
    Brazil is also " energy independent" ( a great ethanol program…grass not corn ) so they aren't being crippled by the costs of imported energy ( one of the biggest drains on the U.S. economy.)

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    Design Research

    Posted by admin on January 10th, 2009 and filed under mutual fund research | No Comments »

    This research video highlights the laundry lifestyles of college students. It analyzes the issues of personal organization, cleanliness and wear to gain insights for design direction.

    Duration : 10 min 54 sec

    Read the rest of this entry »

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    If my investments Roi is around 9 percent, should I do mutual fund instead?

    Posted by admin on January 9th, 2009 and filed under mutual fund research | 3 Comments »

    There is this site called prosper.com and I've done quite a researched in it. The top lenders make an ROI (after all the late payments and defaults in calculations) of around 9 percent. Is my money better off to mutual funds?

    Lending out personal loans in this enviroment of housing foreclosures might not be the best thing …

    Sure people can make 9% when the economy is good but if the economy really sours then you'll learn how difficult the loan business can be …

    I'm often short GM and my thesis is very simple:

    If GM can't make money over a 20 year period when the economy is very good then what going to happen if we have any kind of real recession ?

    My answer is stick to the tried and true methods and owning the stock market over time is the best way to be invested.

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    Is is best to pay sales charge on a mutual fund now, or later?

    Posted by admin on January 6th, 2009 and filed under mutual fund research | 6 Comments »

    I have been investing with american funds for about 4 years now. They have a sales charge attached to every fund purchase, it is usually around 5%. For example, a Type A fund will take the 5% at time of purchase. A Type B, the same fund, will take it when you withdraw, which for me is over 30 years away.
    Or maybe there is a COMPLETELY better route to go where there is NO sales charge. I’ve tried to do some research, but its difficult to filter information.

    Yes, you want one that has no loads, front end, or back end, but with a low annual fee UNDER 1%.

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    Should I dump my mutual fund to buy Berkshire-Hathaway?

    Posted by admin on January 5th, 2009 and filed under mutual fund research | 4 Comments »

    This is a follow-up to my previous question. I am not impressed with my Income Stock Mutual Fund (USISX) and want to dump it to buy BRK-B. I've done the research and BRK-B has outperformed USISX for years. It looks like a good buy to me, I just want some other opinions.
    I'm already invested into an S&P 500 fund. I just am not impressed with my Income Stock.

    check morningstar.com fund screener (free) ….. you can see which funds have a great track record over time ie EKWAX >20%/yr avg over 10yrs! , up 5% this year already when most are negative, or assuming you'll get in on a dip CGMFX, which has an even better long term performance, but down 12% right now…..I don't see anything wrong with letting the Buffet team manage a piece of your portfoloio, just know BKR-B has 10yr avg of 9.8% and down 4% this year…..whatever you do, you need to get out of USISX which is one of the >80% of funds which underperforms the mkt

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